The Crash of 1929: Are We on the Verge of a Repeat?

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Snipped from alternet.org.

I’ll be the first to admit that I have failed miserably in every foray of mine into the stock market. So, for those who know how to play the game, my hat goes off to you. With the huge loss yesterday in the market, I am wondering if it doesn’t foretell a future disaster in the making. So, with all the negativity in the country from the sub-prime market and housing taking a beating, I am concerned that yesterday may be just the beginning of a true stock market disaster. So when I came across the article in alternet.org concerning a repeat of the 1929 market crash, I just had to read it. The article is extremely well written because even I was able to grasp the dire situation that our “hyper-real” stock market is in. You may find this article will help your understanding of what is really behind this new term, but old strategy, called “naked shorting” and exactly what this means to giant hedge funds of today.

It all begins with an acknowledgment that “the American economy is a hyper-reality that has been engineered by Ph.D.s working hand-in-hand with colluding media multinationals, political officials and some of the biggest names in the business–and the banks that invest in them”. In an age in which 97 percent of stock transactions are conducted electronically, we no longer have a paper trade. Combine that with hedge funds, mortgage-backed securities, subprime loans and naked shorting, you have a scenario in which there are virtual transactions that never actually occur.

When a person “buys” a stock, then the expectation is that that stock is real. But when you have hedge funds who are betting both sides of the fence and in the case of “naked” shorting, in effect, borrow the share (they don’t really own it) to replace it later, then you have created a market in which there are more shares than actual stock. And, that’s what creates a hyper-real economy and conditions ripe for another repeat of the 1929 stock market crash.

Here is a portion of the article that explains this in more detail.

“It’s essentially counterfeiting,” Byrne added. “You’re creating counterfeit shares in the system. It works like this. In a normal stock transaction, you give me money and I give you stock. And not paper stock anymore. It turns out that there is a loophole in the system: When I come to give you the stock that you bought, if I don’t actually have any stock, I can give what is effectively an IOU. Now you never know about this unless you know the right question to ask your broker, but it’s possible that all you really have in your account is an IOU from your brokerage account from a different broker working with a hedge fund.”

It is precisely this imbalance between real and invented shares that Byrne and others argue is primed to explode the subprime collapse into a full-blown economic depression.

“There are a lot of us who think we are living on the edge of 1929,” Byrne continued. “When you consider what’s happened with mortgage-backed securities, you get the feeling these might be the first rumblings. There may be more IOUs in the system than there is liquidity, in which case the entire thing is going to vapor lock as soon as it is exposed. One of the healthiest indications of the vibrancy of an economy is capital formation. Seven years ago, America was responsible for 57 percent of IPO capital raised around the world. Now it’s down to 16 percent. A national disaster.”

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  • Alan Greenspan goofed. He admitted before Congress this morning that his view of the economy for the past 40 years was a mistake! He always thought Bankers would look after their depositors and CEO’s would look after their shareholders.

    Sure. Gawk! Gawk! Is anybody home up there?
    --30--
  • Almost Bye-Bye to Social Security. A quote from a comment by Unum from this posting: “With all the power that Wall Street wields, I’m really surprised that his [President Bush’s] privatization of Social Security didn’t succeed. Maybe there’s hope after all.”

    Yes, indeed, a review of the last few weeks of the stock market reveals WHAT WOULD HAVE HAPPENED had social security been privatized and stock-dependent. And -- Good Gawk! -- thereby with the “Great Depression” looming once again, this would have crucified the lifelines of the retired elderly(SS) and the physical and mentally handicapped (SSI). Yes, Unum, as you said back in August of 2007, there was hope yet.

    Wow! It could have been a massive disaster for mega many of us.
    --30--
  • Bush today called the economic decline a "slow-down." Bush also claimed that there is no recession. Hello?

    What's interesting is that it looks like the economy, not the war, will be the major factor in the upcoming Presidential election.
    --30--
  • It just happened here. Sub-prime loans again. Just as the British Government had to step in to keep Northern Rock from going under, so too, in the U.S. our Federal Government just stepped in to help rescue the big investment bank Bear Stearns Cos. Doesn’t that foretell the onset of a depression, yes, depression? De ja vu ... of 1929?
    --30--
  • The Bush people have a new name to describe what's happening to the economy -- to the Woe caused by the sub-prime mess. Today, instead of calling it a depression or a recession, they're calling it a correction. Yes, the economy is going thru a correction! Doesn't that term make you fell better?
    -30-
  • Yes we are on the verge of another great depression. Now is the time to use one slice of cheese instead of two or three on lunchtime sandwiches. Now is the time to learn how to sew to restore old clothing. Now is the time to park the car and get out the bike. Start walking. Family at home entertainment with playing cards and board games. A penny saved is a penny earned. Get the at-home economy under control. During the great depression, there was a popular cookbook, called, you guess it, the Depression Cookbook. We could use those money-saving, made-from-scratch recipes today when we will soon be in need without bucks to buy store stuff.
    -30-
  • Northern Rock’s CEO and three board members resigned in a move towards the mortgage-lender bank’s sale. In a way, following the trend of dumping CEO’s of large U.S. institutions that had huge losses but with their firms still intact. For now.
    -30-
  • Sub-prime quicksand for Northern Rock in Britain. Four companies have bid for Northern Rock, the biggest mortgage company loser so far in the sub-prime mess but it has turned them down as inadequate bids. The Bank of England loaned Northern Rock $47 billion for six months, not to be renewed. Moody downgraded their stock because Northern Rock couldn’t find a solution. The depositors’ money is safe for now, but the government can’t guarantee the billions in loans beyond February. Unless some firm doesn’t acquire Northern Rock, then what? More long lines of depositors demanding their money as before. Banks in the U.S. have written off billions, but wait! how much more in this coming 4th quarter? The sub-prime mess has become quicksand for here and abroad.
    -30-
  • One CEO of a huge bank bit the dust, another CEO of another huge bank is on his way out. All this from massive debt caused by the sub-prime loan mess. We hear about the big guys taking the fall, what I want to know is about the little banks and little S&L's. Are they covering up; how can they? Or is their debt so low per bank that it's not worth reporting. Hey! Multiply the number of little guys who racked up debt times what? The resulting figures must be astounding. Yet no word on that. Could it be to keep it quiet to bolster the consumer into spending more; keep the economy sound. Whatever that it is.
    -30-
  • The CEO of Merrll Lynch & Co. resigned today. Doesn't matter. They still lost $7.9 billion.
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